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Demand Forecaster-Planner


Applications will be accepted until the position is filled. The first review of application submissions will begin on or about August 4, 2017.

We are seeking a Demand Forecaster/Planner. Under direction of the Planning & System Decision Support Manager performs functions of the agency involving short- and long-term water demand forecasting and analysis of water use, meteorological, and socio-economic data. The water demand planner/forecaster maintains and updates demand forecast databases, forecasting models, and participates in long-term water supply planning activities. This position also performs water use efficiency studies. Employees in this category have knowledge and understanding in the areas of time series modeling/forecasting, statistical analysis and interpretation, resource management, computer programming, uncertainty and risk analysis, and an advanced knowledge in utilizing relational databases and Geographic Information System for spatial-temporal data analysis and geocoding.

Performance is evaluated through periodic conferences, reports, and administrative review process. Performs related work as directed.

ESSENTIAL FUNCTIONS:

  • Updates and maintains agency short-term (Optimized Regional Operation Plan Demand models) and long-term (econometric) demand forecast models and provide frequent forecasts and analyses for various agency departments. This includes the annual demand forecast update for budgeting as well as long-range deterministic and probabilistic projections for supply planning and infrastructure resiliency projects.
  • Compiles, analyzes, geocodes, and interprets extensive parcel level water use/billing data and land use projections by member government and water demand planning areas to assess regional water use growth trend and identify demand management opportunities.
  • Uses and interprets third party socio-economic data, with correlation to Agency water consumption data, to determine water use projections. Gather, analyze, and interpret data and prepare clear and concise written reports.
  • Conducts, analyze, and interprets temporal and spatial water use and market penetration data in support of end-use modeling and demand management programs.
  • Provides seasonal water delivery projections based on seasonal climate outlook as part of agency’s seasonal source allocation program.
  • Performs demand projection uncertainty analysis and provide technical advice and support for other departments throughout the Agency.
  • Participates in the Agency’s long-term water supply planning activities to include updating long-term demand forecasts, future need assessments, water supply alternative evaluations, and infrastructure sizing projects.
  • Performs water use efficiency studies to support long-term forecasts and water supply planning.
  • Report, document, and communicate methods of analysis, results, conclusions, and recommendations.
  • Identify research needed to support agency needs and write proposals defining scope, required resources, and benefits.
  • Develop and manage project time schedules, project budgets, technical resources, and reports.
  • Manage activities of professional consultants regarding assigned functions and projects under charge.
  • Respond to concerns/inquiries and provide general assistance to management and other agency staff.
  • Perform related work as directed.

Disaster Service Worker: Employees of Tampa Bay Water are, by State and Federal law, Disaster Service Workers. In the event of a declaration of emergency, any employee may be assigned activities that promote the protection of public health and safety or the preservation of lives and property, either at the Agency or within the local community or their own community.

MINIMUM TRAINING AND EXPERIENCE:

  • Minimum of five years’ relevant experience water demand forecasting and analysis of water use, meteorological, and socio-economic data.
  • Position requires knowledge in statistical analysis of large complex data, such as exploratory data analysis, system identification technique and time series forecast/projection, which are relevant to water resources system model conceptualization, design, development, and implementation.
  • Position requires knowledge in water demand modeling and forecasting techniques and interpretation of modeling results.
  • Position requires analytical and programing skills using scientific software, such as MATLAB, or similar, requires experience in databases with a preference using Structured Query Language (SQL) scripts and experience in working with spatial and temporal databases and in using Geographic Information System Software.
  • Strong and effective communication skills on broad and complex technical issues.
  • Critical and creative thinking, and problem-solving skills are required.

EDUCATION REQUIRED:

  • Master’s degree in water resources engineering, economics, statistics, quantitative analysis, natural resources management or similar field required.

REQUIRED LICENSES AND CERTIFICATIONS:

  • Valid driver's license.

MINIMUM STANDARDS REQUIRED TO PERFORM ESSENTIAL JOB FUNCTIONS:

Physical Abilities: Tasks involve the ability to exert light physical effort in sedentary to light work, but which may involve some lifting, carrying, pushing and/or pulling of objects and materials of light weight (5-10 pounds). Tasks may involve extended periods of time at a keyboard or work station.

Sensory Abilities: Some tasks require visual perception and discrimination. Some tasks require oral communications ability.

Environmental Requirements: Tasks may risk exposure to extremes in temperature and dusts or pollen.

NOTE: This job description is not intended to be all-inclusive. Employee may perform other related duties as required to meet the ongoing needs of the organization.

$63,401 to $104,612 (actual salary will be commensurate with experience).

Applications will be accepted until the position is filled. The first review of application submissions will begin on or about August 4, 2017.


Tampa Bay Water is committed to hiring and retaining a diverse workforce. We are an affirmative action/equal opportunity employer and offer employment opportunities to all persons without regard to race, color, religion, age, sex, national origin, marital status veteran status, disability, or any other protected class. We recognize veteran’s preference as provided by Florida Law and we are committed to a drug free workplace.



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